Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 56.958828 64.989128 73.232357 82.292105 91.936323 101.865149 112.829066
2026-01-18 44.147748 55.507665 67.746373 81.767224 97.251190 113.708534 132.407178
2026-01-25 37.014844 50.184631 64.896079 82.248337 101.885892 123.185228 147.810330
2026-02-01 30.914661 45.157525 61.628618 81.578364 104.642498 130.089561 159.933012
2026-02-08 26.358671 41.361688 59.281274 81.502811 107.667346 136.948583 171.689437
2026-02-15 22.173323 37.535385 56.502280 80.572347 109.409068 142.107791 181.313304
2026-02-22 19.570253 35.439064 55.600136 81.679362 113.360964 149.658150 193.532617
2026-03-01 17.483181 33.797195 55.090566 83.116825 117.585854 157.432288 205.932918
2026-03-08 14.727424 30.925389 52.779459 82.139248 118.763631 161.532368 213.994418
2026-03-15 12.089184 27.910781 50.053326 80.451708 118.927156 164.317369 220.423917
2026-03-22 11.413543 27.796254 51.187403 83.668263 125.088641 174.206129 235.154159
2026-03-29 10.336284 26.924592 51.199043 85.369097 129.328924 181.771698 247.135512
2026-04-05 8.691889 24.950018 49.572338 84.873766 130.818933 186.059371 255.304543
2026-04-12 7.252741 23.125574 48.037096 84.411086 132.288532 190.283165 263.374702
2026-04-19 6.219609 21.877989 47.251777 84.887696 134.898407 195.853541 273.018494
2026-04-26 5.058776 20.187180 45.683948 84.208310 135.961650 199.485976 280.306461
2026-05-03 4.169520 18.875078 44.601260 84.130998 137.752485 203.976617 288.598490
2026-05-10 3.248667 17.280425 42.958174 83.184183 138.348751 206.946035 295.019752
2026-05-17 2.778035 16.634690 42.796375 84.310722 141.647946 213.261265 305.487975
2026-05-24 2.408671 16.162295 42.884003 85.773380 145.378581 220.108793 316.602535
2026-05-31 1.775621 14.769979 41.325806 84.778691 145.792003 222.767420 322.586297
2026-06-07 1.184869 13.203243 39.336578 83.061395 145.172562 224.078895 326.884420
2026-06-14 1.145722 13.506698 40.685471 86.334429 151.306531 233.943824 341.695124